A few days before the launch of the iPhone, when everyone had a theory but no one really knew what to expect, I wrote a story called “Why do people want the Applephone so much?” right here. I’m sure some interpreted it to be some anti-iPhone dialectic, but it was intended to bring the rumor mill and people’s ultimate cellphone fantasies, which were at an all time high, down from the stratosphere a bit. I made a number of postulations about the device, and now that the iPhone is out I figured it’d be fun to see how I fared:

  1. “The battery life will probably be pretty awful.” Blew that one! Battery performance on my iPhone(s) haven’t been beyond the realm of human comprehension, but they’ve been very decent! I was shocked that I got 9 hours of video playback on medium brightness with WiFi and Bluetooth off (see: iPhone review).
  2. “The phone will be buggy.” Yeah, it’s true. It’s by no means unusable, but damned if Safari and iPod and any number of the apps on the device don’t crash constantly.
  3. “It won’t be what people want. … The iPhone will undoubtedly be, comparatively speaking, under-featured.” I’m going to give myself half a point here. My thesis wasn’t that people won’t want or won’t buy the iPhone, it was that the iPhone won’t be as feature-rich a phone as tech enthusiasts demand — and that is totally is true. No 3G, physical keyboard, GPS, A2DP, MMS, chat app, etc. But on the other hand it does do a lot of things WAY better than other devices (mobile browsing, for one), so there’s that.
  4. “It probably won’t have 3G. … you’ll have to pay the full $500 for a first gen Applephone.” Ding! Called the no-3G part. Can I take a half a point because I predicted the price?
  5. “It’s safe to assume it won’t work with Windows out of the box.” Totally wrong! Ironically, my iPhone synced better with my Windows box and Outlook than it did with my Mac box and Mail.app / Address Book / iCal!
  6. “It won’t be revolutionary. If anything, it’ll be a well designed, well thought-out phone — which is, I suppose, revolutionary considering the market. But only because no one else is really pushing the envelope. From a device standpoint it will be fairly conventional in form-factor, shape, size, etc.” I think I can take a full point here, can’t I? Let’s be honest, the iPhone doesn’t blow peoples’ minds because of what it does — lots of phones do everything the iPhone does and more (except multi-touch). The iPhone blows peoples’ minds because the user experience of almost all cellphones totally sucks, and we were all ready for a phone with lots of useful features that is fun and easy. But at the end of the day the iPhone’s a touchscreen candybar. An extremely thin and well designed touchscreen candybar to be sure, but that’s what it is.

So, how’d I do? 3.5 / 6, not too bad. But my hat goes off to Apple for proving me wrong on some of these bits, especially on the Windows syncing!